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Aastrom Biosciences (ASTM)

Business description

Aastrom Biosciences uses autologous cell therapy to process and inject the patient's own cells. The lead Phase III product aims to reduce the amputation rate in patients with blocked leg arteries: this has $1.25bn sales potential.

Share price chart

Share chart

Stock data

Market cap.US$87.2m
Last closeUS$2.25
High / Low (52 weeks)US$3.3 / US$1.8
Stock market listingNASDAQ
Forecast net cash (US$m)9.9
Forecast gearing ratio (%)N/A
TeamHealthcare
SectorPharmaceutical & Healthcare

Price performance

%1m3m12m
Actual0.401821.5676(20.2482)
Relative *3.794724.6178(19.9671)

* % Relative to local index

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Y/E Dec Revenue (US$m) EBITDA (US$m) PBT (US$m) EPS (fd) (c) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2010A 0.3 (11.4) (11.6) (39.7) N/A N/A
2011A 0.0 (28.4) (29.0) (75.1) N/A N/A
2012E 0.0 (32.5) (37.1) (96.0) N/A N/A
2013E 0.0 (35.4) (41.1) (106.4) N/A N/A

Last updated on 17/04/2012

Investment summary

After the presentation of full Phase II RESTORE critical limb ischaemia (CLI) data, Aastrom is entering a quiet news period. The company aims to market directly in the US; we assume an EU partnering deal and 2013 upfront. The Q112 $40m funding enables the REVIVE Phase III for CLI to progress but will be insufficient to complete development. Aastrom has a leading position in stem cell therapy and deals in 2012 are possible.

Last updated on 23/04/2012

Industry outlook

The 72-patient Phase II RESTORE CLI data showed a statistically significant reduction in the combined amputation and amputation-related risk factor endpoint (p=0.0032). The pivotal REVIVE Phase III in 594 patients has been FDA agreed under an SPA and started in Q112. If it meets its 12-month endpoint, Ixmyelocel-T should be the first marketed cell therapy for CLI and the only US treatment option for 100,000-150,000 potential amputees per year. In ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy, a Phase IIa indicated good safety and some responses.

Last updated on 23/04/2012

Key management

Tim Mayleben, CEO
Brian Gibson, FD

Company address

Domino's Farms
Lobby K, 24 Frank Lloyd Wright Drive
Ann Arbor
48105
United States
(734) 418-4400
View website



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